Introduction: In the aftermath of the Brexit Party’s triumphant victory in the 2019 European parliamentary elections, it was widely anticipated that Farage’s party would split the Leave vote in any future general elections. These concerns became even more apparent when the Eurosceptic parties failed to displace Labour in Peterborough or fend off the Liberal DemocratsContinue reading “Did the Brexit Party cost the Tories seats in England and Wales?”
In weeks of Labour’s worst electoral defeat since 1935 pollsters are already predicting who will succeed Jeremy Corbyn in becoming leader of the opposition in March. However, YouGov have revealed that the front-runner and continuity-Corbyn candidate, Rebecca Long-Bailey, is expected to lose emphatically to the shadow Brexit Secretary, Sir Keir Starmer.
In the second piece of analysis on the future of the Union, Jack Walters looks at the possible difficulties in Northern Ireland where Unionists have lost their stranglehold in Westminster for the first time.
With the polls tightening, Jack Walters dissects the possible influence of tactical voting and turnout on this general election, and Brexit altogether.
English-born, SNP supporter, James MacGregor Palmer calls for Scots to back Sturgeon’s pragmatic party.
Check out the MA Journalist student at Stirling University’s blog – https://jamesmacgregorpalmer.wordpress.com/
Tonight I am answering Dominic Cummings’ call to promote Boris Johnson in his bid to re-enter Downing Steet. According to the PM’s adviser, and the brains of the Vote Leave campaign, ‘things are MUCH tighter than they seem and there is a very real possibility of a hung parliament. Without a majority, the nightmare continues. ALL other MPs will gang together to stop Brexit and give EU citizens the vote. It’s that simple.’
So here is my plea to the 17.4
Whatever the Scottish people decide in December will ultimately determine their future. If the 55% back the only Unionist Party left in Scotland then Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP will have to accept that the people of Scotland do not want a second referendum and wish to stay a part of the most successful political Union in human history. While there is no doubt that the Unionist vote will fragment between the traditional pro-Union parties, there is only one that can ensure that Scotland remains a respected and cherished member of the United Kingdom, and that is the party led by Boris Johnson. The chaos and division that would result by backing any other party in Scotland will put both the campaigning and aftermath of the 2014 and 2016 referendum to shame; we may never heal these wounds.
If you failed to watch tonights ITV debate, then you are not missing much. YouGov’s instant poll gave Boris a slender victory of 51% to 49%. However, undoubtedly, there was no clear winner. Boris proved to win with regard to likeability and prime ministerial material. Yet Corbyn resonates with Britons on trustworthiness and being in touch with ordinary people. That said that Boris did not make any notable mistakes and Corbyn’s failure to land sufficient punches on the Prime Minister, means that of the two the Tories will be slightly happier.
While nationalist campaigners continue to campaign for an imitation of independence, their constituents continue to reject it. The critical thing to remember is that Brexit is not going to break apart the Union. If anything by taking back control, it almost appears futile to hand it back to Brussels. Instead, the Union, for now, is safe in Wales and I hastily add in Scotland. Despite this, the greatest threat to the Union is on the island of Ireland.