Introduction: In the aftermath of the Brexit Party’s triumphant victory in the 2019 European parliamentary elections, it was widely anticipated that Farage’s party would split the Leave vote in any future general elections. These concerns became even more apparent when the Eurosceptic parties failed to displace Labour in Peterborough or fend off the Liberal DemocratsContinue reading “Did the Brexit Party cost the Tories seats in England and Wales?”
‘In the wake of four Brexit Party MEPs resigning from the party, the Brexit Party candidate, Reece Wilkes, pulls out of the election race in the tightly contested Labour-Conservative marginal of Lincoln, as concerns about Nigel Farage’s electoral strategy continue to grow.’
Jack Walters interviewed the youngest Prospective Parliamentary Candidate in Wales, Cameron Edwards, and asked him what the Brexit Party will give the people of Newport West, what he thought of the defecting quartet and the Brexit Party’s chances of changing the political landscape.
The Brecon and Radnorshire by-election has not proved to be as damaging to the Conservatives as once thought. When the constituents called for the by-election, the Tories were in disarray and subsequently reselected Chris Davies, a man guilty of expenses fraud, probably because they felt they had no hope of winning it. This result will be a bitter-sweet moment for the Liberal Democrats and the Remain Alliance. They may have won the seat, but it is a seat that they should be winning. If they could not win a seat they held from 1997 to 2015, against a contentious candidate, with the Brexit vote split, and their Remain vote unified, then they would be very disappointed indeed.
Peterborough should also serve as a huge warning sign to the Tories and Labour. The Brexit Party claimed that Peterborough was 201st on their target list and on the basis of Dr Hanretty’s estimates on how constituencies voted in the referendum of 2016 and the EU Election of 2019 Peterborough ranks 131st in Leave-voting seats and 267th in backing the Brexit Party this May. This was no Clacton, this was not even a Rochester and Strood.